This page provides a schedule of upcoming meetings and an informal collection of titles, notes or slides (whenever notes were made available) from our past monthly tipping point reading groups. Please contact Paul Ritchie if you would like to present in a future meeting or have any further suggestions for the group.

Schedule (subject to change):

Previous Presentations

• 30th November 2023: Frank Kwasniok, Anticipating and predicting critical transitions using data-driven non-autonomous dynamical modelling
• 3rd November 2023: Hassan Alkhayuon, Phase-tipping, stochastic resonances and the risk of tipping cyclic ecosystems
• 29th June 2023: Sacha Sinet, AMOC stability and tipping Ice Sheets
• 15th June 2023: Ryan Deeley, The impact of timescales on noise- and rate-induced critical transitions in a multiscale marine ecological model
• 1st June 2023: Eoin O’Sullivan, Rate-Induced Tipping to Metastable Zombie Fires
• 11th May 2023: Oisin Hamilton, A reduced order model for studying atmosphere coupling
• 26th January 2023: Andreas Morr, Detecting Critical Slowing Down under the influence of continuous-time Red Noise
• 15th December 2022: Ignacio del Amo,Transition times of a particle driven by Lévy noise in a double well potential
• 10th November 2022: Kerstin Lux, Tipping Points in Random Ordinary Differential Equations
• 7th July 2022: Bert Wuyts, Bistability of tropical forest and savanna: abandoning the mean field in the quest for better indicators
• 5th May 2022: Jen Creaser, Quasipotentials for coupled bistable systems
• 17th March 2022: Paul Ritchie, Evidence of local Amazon forest dieback in CMIP6 models (slides)
• 17th February 2022: Thoraya Alharthi, Finding critical rates for a parameter shift to periodic forcing
• 20th January 2022: Tim Lenton, An update of climate tipping elements and their tipping points
• 16th December 2021: Stuart Townley, Tipping points and chaos in eco-cultural systems
• 18th November 2021: Ruth Chapman, Stochastic data adapted AMOC box models (slides)
• 20th February 2020: Kirsten Lees, Using remote sensing to monitor peatland resilience (slides available on request)
• 23rd January 2020: Paul Ritchie, Abrupt shifts in national land use and food production after a climate tipping point (slides)
• 19th September 2019: Courtney Quinn (CSIRO, Hobart, Australia), Rate- and bifurcation-induced tipping of the AMOC in a global oceanic box model (slides)
• 4th July 2019: Mark Williamson, Spatial early warnings of the transition to superrotation: Studying a bifurcation in the general circulation using an idealized GCM (slides)
• 6th June 2019: Jan Sieber, Analysis of instabilities in simple mechanical experiments (notes)