Tuesday 11th July
Session 1: The Role of Applied Mathematics in Models and Decision Making
Marco A. Iglesias (Mathematical Sciences, University of Nottingham): Uncertainty Quantification and Inverse Problems
Leonardo Rojas Nandayapa (Mathematical Sciences, University of Liverpool)
Lorna Wilson (Commercial Research Associate, University of Bath): The Role of Applied Mathematics in Models and Decision Making
Contributed Talks
Dr Gary Mirams (University of Nottingham): Minimising uncertainty in models of ion channel currents
Dr G.Charles-Cadogan (University of Leicester): Harmonic Probability Weighting Functions And Resolution of The Preference Reversal Puzzle
Dr Andrea Taylor (University of Leeds): Communicating uncertainty in seasonal climate forecasts
Wednesday 12th July
Session 2: The Role of Visualisation in Models and Decision Making
Julian Gunn (Department of Infection, Immunity & Cardiovascular Disease, University of Sheffield): The role of visualisation in models and decision making: Heart disease and its management
Neil Kaye (Met Office)
Glyn Mottershead (co-director of the MSc Computational and Data Journalism, Cardiff University)
Contributed Talks
Dr Valerie Livina (National Physical Laboratory): Quantifying carbon emissions and saving in the UK energy system
Dr Rutger Dankers (Met Office): Weather to Decisions: using probabilistic weather forecasts to inform decision-making
Session 3: The Role of Statistics in Models and Decision Making
Tony O’Hagan (Mathematics and Statistics, University of Sheffield)
Jim Smith (Statistics, University of Warwick)
Lindsay Lee (Institute for Climate and Atmospheric Science, University of Leeds): The role of sensitivity analysis in decision support
Thursday 13th July
Contributed Talks
Prof Liz Varga (Cranfield University): The ability of models to predict the effects of policy decisions
Dr Jooyoung Jeon (University of Bath): Using temporal hierarchical probabilistic forecasting for peer to peer energy trading
Prof Tom Anderson (NOC Southampton): Communicating the projections of global warming by climate models to a public audience: my experiences
Decisions Makers Session
Uncertainty from the Decision Makers Perspective: A Decision Makers Led Session
Veronica Bowman (Dstl)
Andrew Jones (MA)
Joel Howard (Reachback)
CRUISSE (Challenging Radical Uncertainty in Science, Society and the Environment): A Network Led Session
David Tuckett (University College London)
Erica Thompson (LSE’s Centre for the Analysis of Time Series)
David Good (Department of Psychology, University of Cambridge) (Chair)
Session 4: The Role of Philosophy & Social Sciences in Models and Decision Making
Casey Helgeson (Philosophy, HEC Paris): Informing Decisions with Models. Contributions from PHILOSOPHY
Magda Osman (Psychology, Queen Mary’s London): Psychological understanding of Uncertainty
Antony Millner (Economics, LSE)
Friday 14th July
Session 5: The Role of Psychology in Models and Decision Making
Rob Hutton (Trimetis Ltd): The Role of Psychology in Models and Decision Making: An Applied Cognitive Psychologist’s View
Wendy Jephson (SYBENETIX)
Thomas Ormerod (University of Sussex): Modelling the information that underlies complex behavioural decisions to provide decision support
Contributed Talks
Dr Christopher Street (University of Huddersfield): Adaptive decision making in deceptive environments
Prof Jonathan Linton (University of Sheffield): Using exotic options for mitigating risk in R&D on competing technologies