Resistance to Technology Adoption

The adoption of new technologies is fundamental for economic development. This might have led one to expect that the more technologically backward a country the more fervently it would adopt new technologies.  Yet in fact, one of the greatest difficulties with the process of economic development is precisely the resistance among entrenched interest groups to technological change.  Because such groups anticipate the resultant loss of income they may try to block the introduction of new technologies through outright conflict.  Famous historical examples are the Luddites and the Captain Swing revolts.    Other blocking mechanisms do not rely on direct conflict and usually aim at securing some form of protection from the government.  This is clear in the case where firms and workers lobby against trade liberalization or deregulation of markets.  There are also indirect mechanisms that can involve, for example, deliberate failure to protect property rights.  The reason is that groups who become wealthier as a result of the adoption of new technology can dispute the political position of an incumbent group, providing the incumbent with an incentive to undermine property rights protection and hence technology adoption.

Acemoglu, Daron and James A. Robinson (2000) “Political Losers as a Barrier to Economic DevelopmentAmerican Economic Review, 90 (2): 126-130.

Acemoglu, Daron and James A. Robinson (2006) “Economic Backwardness in Political Perspective”, American Political Science Review, 100 (1): 115–131. [Working paper version]

Bellettini, Giorgio and Ottaviano, Gianmarco I. P. (2005) “Special interests and technological changeReview of Economic Studies, 72 (1): 43-56. [Working paper version]

Bridgman, Benjamin R., Igor D. Livshits, and James C. MacGee (2007) “Vested Interests and Technology Adoption”, Journal of Monetary Economics, 54 (3): 649-666.

Bourguignon, Francois, and Thierry Verdier (2000) “Oligarchy, Democracy, Inequality and Growth”, Journal of Development Economics, 62 (August): 285–313.

Cuberes, David and Michał Jerzmanowski (2009) “Democracy, Diversification and Growth Reversals”, Economic Journal, 119 (540): 1270-1302. [Working paper version]

Gancia, Gino and Fabrizio Zilibotti (2009) “Technological Change and the Wealth of Nations“ Annual Review of Economics, 1: 93-120. [Working paper version]

Gonzalez, Francisco M. (2005) “Insecure property and technological backwardness”, Economic Journal, 115 (505): 703-721 

Kuznets, Simon (1968) “Towards a Theory of Economic GrowthYale University Press, New Haven.

Mokyr, Joel (1990) “The Lever of Riches, Oxford University Press, Oxford

Olson, Mancur (1982) “The Rise and Decline of Nations: Economic Growth, Stagflation, and Social Rigidities, Yale University Press, New Haven

Parente, Stephen L. and Edward C. Prescott. 1999. “Monopoly Rights: A Barrier to Riches.” American Economic Review, 89: 1216–33.

Saint-Paul, Gilles (2002) “The Political Economy of Employment ProtectionJournal of Political Economy, 110 (3): 672-704. [Working paper version]

Income Inequality and Political Stability

Partly prompted by the recent financial crisis, a debate has resurfaced about the implications of inequality and political instability for prosperity.  One strand of this literature, associated with Lewis (1955) and Kaldor (1956), argues that higher inequality is beneficial for growth because wealthier groups hold the resources necessary for investment.  Another strand, which is the focus of this post, shows that the channel through which inequality affects growth is political.  In an unstable political environment, which can be created by high income inequality, investment is discouraged by a higher risk of expropriation and voters’ preferences towards redistributional policies, both of which affect growth adversely.

Alesina, A. and R. Perotti (1996) “Income Distribution, Political Instability, and InvestmentEuropean Economic Review, 40(6): 1203-1228. [Working paper version]

Bénabou, R. (2000) “Unequal Societies: Income Distribution and The Social Contract” The American Economic Review, 90(1): 96–129. [Working paper version]

Bourguignon, F. and T. Verdier (2000) “Oligarchy, Democracy, Inequality and GrowthJournal of Development Economics, 62(2): 285–313.

Campante, F. R. (2011) “Redistribution in a Model of Voting and Campaign Contributions” Journal of Public Economics, 95(7-8): 646-656. [Working paper version]

Cosgel, M., A. B. Ergene (2012) “Inequality of Wealth in the Ottoman Empire: War, Weather, and Long-Term Trends in Eighteenth-Century KastamonuJournal of Economic History, 72(2): 308-331. [Working paper version]

Galor, O. (2009) “Inequality and Economic Development: An OverviewMimeo.

Persson, T. and G. Tabellini (1994) “Is Inequality Harmful to Growth?American Economic Review, 84(3): 600-621. [Working paper version]

Saint-Paul, G., and T. Verdier (1993), “Education, Democracy and GrowthJournal of Development Economics 42: 399-407. [Working paper version]

Woo, J. (2009) “Why Do More Polarized Countries Run More Procyclical Fiscal Policy?” Review Of Economics And Statistics, 91(4): 850-870.

Culture and Economics

The culture hypothesis in economic development states that values, preferences and beliefs of individuals and societies play a key role in economic performance.  This is the view endorsed by Max Weber (1930) in his explanation on how Protestantism influenced industrialization.  Hayek (1944) stresses the importance of the emergence of a new culture for the creation and sustenance of an open-market economy.  Culture underpins North’s (1991) “rules of the game” of society, which suggests that the channel through which culture affects economic performance is via its influence on institutions. Verifying the culture hypothesis empirically is challenging due to the vagueness of the concept of culture, the issues that this raises in turn for measuring culture in the data, and related difficulties with estimation of the effects of culture.  But more recently researchers have started to undertake new innovative approaches in order to solve these issues and to find persuasive evidence that culture actually matters for economic outcomes.

Akerlof, G. and R. E. Kranton, (2000)  “Economics and identity”. Quarterly Journal of Economics,115: 715–33.

Bisin, A. and T. Verdier (2000) “Beyond the melting pot: cultural transmission, marriage, and the evolution of ethnic and religious traits”. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 115: 955–88.

Bowles, S. (1998) “Endogenous preferences: the cultural consequences of markets and other economic institutions.” Journal of Economic Literature, 36: 75–111

Carroll, C., B. Rhee, and C. Rhee (1994) “Are there cultural effects on saving? Some cross-sectional evidence.” Quarterly Journal of Economics 109: 685–99.

Elster, J. (1989) “Social norms and economic theory.” Journal of Economic Perspectives 3(4): 99–117.

Fernández, R.  (2013) “Cultural Change as Learning: The Evolution of Female Labor Force Participation over a Century.” American Economic Review, 103(1): 472-500. [Working paper verison]

Fernández, R. and A. Fogli (2009) “Culture: an empirical investigation of beliefs, work, and fertility.” American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 1(1): 146-77 [Working paper version]

Greif, A. (1994) “Cultural beliefs and the organization of society: a historical and theoretical reflection on collectivist and individualist societies.” Journal of Political  Economy, 102: 912–50.

Greif, A. (2005)  Institutions: Theory and History. Comparative and Historical Institutional Analysis.  Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

Guiso, L., P. Sapienza, and L. Zingales (2003) “People’s opium? Religion and Economic Attitudes.” Journal of Monetary Economics 50: 225–82. [Working paper version]

Guiso, L., P. Sapienza, and L. Zingales (2004) “The Role of Social Capital in Financial Development.” American Economic Review, 94 (3): 526-56. [Working paper version]

Guiso, L., P. Sapienza, and L. Zingales (2009) “Cultural biases in economic exchange”. Quarterly Journal of Economics 124(3): 1095-1131. [Working paper version]

Guiso, L., P. Sapienza, and L. Zingales (2006) “Does culture affect economic outcomes?Journal of Economic Perspectives 20(2): 23–48. [Working paper version]

Hayek, F. (1944) The Road to Serfdom, George Routledge & Sons, New York

Henrich, J. (2000) “Does Culture Matter in Economic Behavior? Ultimatum Game Bargaining Among the

Machiguenga of the Peruvian Amazon.” American Economic Review, 90 (4): 973–979.

Henrich, J., R. Boyd, S. Bowles, C. Camerer, E. Fehr, H. Gintis, and R. Mcelreath  (2001) “In search of Homo economicus: Behavioral experiments in 15 small-scale societies.” American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings, 91 (2), 73–78.

Mailath, G. and A. Postlewaite (2003) “The social context of economic decisions.” Journal of the European Economic Association, 1: 354–62. [Working paper version]

Manski, C. (2000) “Economic analysis of social interactions.” Journal of Economic Perspectives, 14(3): 115–36.

Nunn, N. (2010) “Religious conversion in colonial Africa.” American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings 100(2):147-52.

Nunn, N. and L. Wantchekon (2011) “The slave trade and the origins of mistrust in Africa.” American Economic Review, 101(7): 3221-52. [Working paper version]

Nunn N. (2012) “Culture and the Historical Process”. Economic History of Developing Regions, 27(S1):108-126. [Working paper version]

Putnam, Robert, R. Leonardi, and R. Nanetti (1993) Making democracy work. New York: Simon & Schuster.

Tabellini, G. (2008a) “Culture and institutions: economic development in the regions of Europe.” Journal of the European Economic Association, 8(4): 677-716. [Working paper version]

Tabellini, G. (2008b) “The scope of cooperation: values and incentives.” Quarterly Journal of Economics 123(3): 905-50. [Working paper version]

The ‘Institutions Hypothesis’ and International Trade

According to Douglas North’s ‘Institutions Hypothesis’, powerful groups within a society will manipulate their nation’s economic institutions in their own interests if they are not bound by appropriate constraints, with potentially deleterious effects on economic development. The main focus is on institutions that specify and enforce contracts and property rights to reduce transactions costs. Existing powerful groups block the enforcement of property rights, and with it investment in new technology, in order to protect their economic rents. Societies are able to make technological advances only if they can defeat such groups. The literature on the interaction between economic institutions and international trade shows that poor institutions can be a source of rent for some groups while institutions can also be a source of comparative advantage in trade. Consequently, the welfare consequences of institutional comparative advantage are often ambiguous. Another branch of the literature focuses instead on the interaction between international trade and political institutions, for example studying the effects of constraints imposed by democratic institutions on the executive branch of government. Trade and growth are found to expand far more in countries where the executive cannot use their power to monopolize the gains from trade.

Acemoglu, D., S. Johnson and J.A. Robinson (2005); “The Rise of Europe: Atlantic Trade, Institutional Change and Economic Growth.” American Economic Review, 95(3): 546-579. [Working paper version]

Acemoglu, D. and J.A. Robinson (2000); “Political Losers as a Barrier to Economic Development.” American Economic Review, 90(2): 126-130. [Working paper version]

Besley, T.J., K.B. Burchardi, and M. Ghatak (2012); “Incentives and the De Soto Effect.” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 127(1): 237–282. [Working paper version]

Costinot, A., (2009); “On the Origins of Comparative Advantage.” Journal of International Economics, 77(2): 255-264. [Working paper version]

Do, Q.-T. and A. Levchenko (2009); “Trade, Inequality, and the Political Economy of Institutions.” Journal of Economic Theory, 144(4): 1489-1520. [Working paper version]

Gancia, G. and Zilibotti, F. (2009); “Technological Change and the Wealth of Nations” Annual Review of Economics, 1: 93-120. [Working paper version]

Garfinkel, M., S. Skaperdas and C. Syropoulos, (2008); “Globalization and Domestic Conflict.” Journal of International Economics, 76(2): 296-308. [Working paper version]

Krusell, P. and J.-V. Ríos-Rull (1996); “Vested Interests in a Positive Theory of Stagnation and Growth.” Review of Economic Studies, 63(2): 301-329. [Working paper version]

Levchenko, A., (2007); “Institutional Quality and International Trade.” Review of Economic Studies, 74(3): 791-819. [Working paper version]

Levchenko, A., (2013); “International Trade and Institutional Change.” Journal of Law, Economics, and Organization, 29(5): 1145-1181. [Working paper version]

North (1991); “Institutions.” Journal of Economic Perspectives, 5(1): 97-112.

Nunn, N., (2007); “Relationship-Specificity, Incomplete Contracts, and the Pattern of Trade.” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 122(2): 569-600. [Working paper version]

R.G. Raghuram and L. Zingales (2000); “The Tyranny of Inequality.” Journal of Public Economics 76(3): 521–558. [Working paper version]

Geography, Institutions, and Economic Growth

One of the great debates in economics concerns the determinants of economic development, investment and growth.  Most recently, this literature has focused on whether geography or institutions play the more decisive role in determining economic development.  A major issue in this debate concerns the appropriate treatment of the endogeneity of the economic institutions themselves.  Much of the literature has been concerned with finding valid instruments to control for this endogeneity, or with finding natural experiments in which institutions changed exogenously such as the fall of the Berlin Wall.  It is probably fair to say that explanations centring on key institutions that enforce contractual arrangements and protect property rights from expropriation by the state dominate the literature at the present time.  But recent work has made a persuasive case that both institutions and geography matter by studying the interaction of colonial history and geography to identify the partial effects of institutions and geographical endowments.  An early concern of the growth literature was on how resources move from agriculture to a ‘modern’ manufacturing sector, and another recent theme takes insights on the importance of geography and institutions to return to that earlier issue of how resources move between sectors.  With the importance of ‘clusters’ of institutions now generally accepted, another strand of the literature seeks to identify in greater detail the precise mechanisms through which particular institutions enhance economic activity.

Acemoglu, D., S. Johnson, and J. A. Robinson (2001); “The Colonial Origins of Comparative Development: An Empirical Investigation.” American Economic Review, 91(5): 1369-1401. [Working paper version]

Acemoglu, D., S. Johnson, and J. A. Robinson (2002);  “Reversal of Fortune: Geography and Institutions in the Making of Modern World Income Distribution.” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 117(4): 1231-1294. [Working paper version]

Acemoglu, D., S. Johnson, and J. A. Robinson (2005); “Institutions as the Fundamental Cause of Long Run Growth.” Published in P.M. Aghion and S.N. Durlauf (eds) Handbook of Economic Growth 1A, 385–472. Amsterdam: Elsevier [Working paper version]

Auer, R. (2013); “Geography, Institutions, and the Making of Comparative Development.” Journal of Economic Growth, 18(2), pages 179-215. [Working paper version]

Dort, T., P.-G. Méon and K. Sekkat (2013); “Does Investment Spur Growth Everywhere? Not Where Institutions Are Weak.” CEB Working Paper N° 13/030. [Working paper version]

Eicher, T., and T. Schreiber (2010); “Structural Policies and Growth: Time Series Evidence from a Natural Experiment” Journal of Development Economics, 91(1): 169-179. [Working paper version]

Gallup, J.L., J.D. Sachs, and A.D. Mellinger (1998); “Geography and Economic Development.” In Annual World Bank Conference on Development Economics 1998 (April), The World Bank: Washington, DC. [Working paper version]

Hall, R.E., and C.I. Jones (1999); “Why Do Some Countries Produce So Much More Output per Worker Than Others?Quarterly Journal of Economics, 114(1): 83-116. [Working paper version]

Hibbs, D., and O. Olsson (2004); “Geography, Biogeography, and Why some Countries are Rich and Others are Poor.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 101: 3715-3720. [Working paper version]

Lim, J., (2013) “Institutional and Structural Determinants of Investment Worldwide.” World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 6591. [Working paper version]

Klenow, P.J., and A. Rodriguez-Clare (1997); “The Neoclassical Revival in Growth Economics: Has it Gone Too Far?” Published in B. Bernanke and J. J. Rotemberg (eds.), NBER Macroeconomics Annual. Cambridge and London: MIT Press, pp. 73–103.

 

 

Enforcement Institutions and Economic Development

Markets rest on institutions that ensure individuals can commit to keep their contractual obligations. The literature has focused both on formal contract-enforcing institutions, where contracts can be enforced by a third party such as a court of law, and informal institutions where the parties enforce an informal contract themselves. Self-enforcing agreements are particularly important in international trade because the jurisdictions of courts of law often do not extend beyond national borders, particularly at a relatively early stage of economic development. One branch of the literature explores whether liberal political institutions such as limited government and the rule of law, which are necessary for a well functioning court system, lead to the expansion of markets or vice versa. A particular focus of attention in this literature is the endogenous emergence of market supporting institutions in the early history of international trade. This is an important question to the extent that development failure is caused by an absence of this type of institution. A second branch of the literature looks at what types of institutions are required to support the supply of high quality goods and services. The concern here rests on recognition that developing countries often lack well functioning formal contract-enforcement institutions. The question becomes one of whether informal institutions such as social networks that do exist in developing countries can support the delivery of high quality (or efficient) outcomes in the absence of formal institutions. While intuition might suggest that formal and informal institutions serve as substitutes, a key insight from this literature is that formal and informal institutions can in fact complement one another.

Battigalli, P. and G. Maggi, (2002); “Rigidity, Discretion, and the Cost of Writing Contracts.” American Economic Review, 92: 798–817. [Earlier version]

Battigalli, P. and G. Maggi, (2008); “Costly Contracting in a Long-Term RelationshipRAND Journal of Economics, 39(2): 352–377. [Earlier version]

Besley, T.J, M. Ghatak, and K. Burchardi (2012) “Incentives and the de Soto EffectQuarterly Journal of Economics, 127(1): 237-282.

Dhillon, A. and J. Rigolini (2011); “Development and the Interaction of Enforcement Institutions.Journal of Public Economics, 95: 79-87.

Dixit, A. (2003); “On Modes of Economic Governance.” Econometrica, 71(2): 449-481. [Earlier version]

Grief, A. (1993); “Contract Enforceability and Economic Institutions in Early Trade: The Maghribi Traders’ Coalition.American Economic Review, 83(3): 525-548.

Greif, A. (2004); “Commitment, Coercion and Markets: The Nature and Dynamics of Institutions Supporting Exchange.” Published in C. Menary and M.M. Shirley (eds) Handbook for New Institutional Economics, Norwell, MA, Kluwer Academic Publications, 727-786.

Greif, A., P. Milgrom and B.R Weingast (1994); “Coordination, Commitment and Enforcement: The Case of the Merchant Guild.Journal of Political Economy, 102(4): 745-776.

MacLeod, B. (2007); “Reputations, Relationships and Contract Enforcement.Journal of Economic Literature, 45(3): 597-630. [Earlier version]

Milgrom, P., D.C. North, B.R. Weingast, (1990); “The Role of Institutions in the Revival of Trade: The Medieval Law Merchant, Private Judges, and the Champagne Fairs.” Economics and Politics, 1: 1-23.

From Dictatorship to Democracy and Democratic Consolidation

There is considerable debate over whether and how political institutions affect economic performance and vice versa. Does the form of government, democracy or dictatorship, have an important bearing on economic growth and efficiency, and how does growth affect the consolidation of democracy? Under what circumstances is democracy a spur for greater equality, and does inequality spur revolution? An apparently important aspect of this debate is how international influences through trade, the actions of international institutions, and political events in foreign countries, affect political regime change, say from dictatorship to democracy, and political consolidation on peaceful government after civil war or revolution.

Acemoglu D. and J. A. Robinson, (2001); “A Theory of Political Transitions.” American Economic Review, 91(4): 938-963. [earlier version]

Aidt T. and P. S. Jensen, (2012); “Workers of the World, Unite! Franchise Extensions and the Threat of Revolution in Europe, 1820-1938.” Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1102, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.

Aidt T., F. Albornoz and M. Gassebner (2012); “The Golden Hello and Political Transitions.” CESifo Working Paper Series 3957, , CESifo Group Munich.

Ellis C. J. and J. Fender (2011); “Information Cascades and Revolutionary Regime Transition.” Economic Journal 121(551): 763792.

Ornelas E. and X. Liu, (2012); “Free Trade Agreements and the Consolidation of Democracy.” Working Paper, London School of Economics.